golf longshots this weekgolf longshots this week

(Photo by Luke Walker/Getty Images), Back Shohei Ohtani, Japan in World Baseball Classic futures market. WMPO: Collin Morikawa. That said, the presence of these elites has pushed quality players to a discounted odds range, creating some appealing value if any of the elites falter. Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. Hahn enters this week in the midst of an 8-event stretch in which hes gained strokes on approach. Farmers: Taylor Montgomery. Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. and he won the 2022 BMW PGA Championship over Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, who both happen to be in the field this week. Steele ranks top-10 in both SG: OTT and SG: APP, which will help him to avoid the persistent hazards that threaten around both the fairways and greens. I expect the scale to tip back in McIlroys favor this week, who has never finished worse than 27th, with three top fives and a win in eight appearances at Bay Hill. Weve been up and down with our PGA Tour expert picks and best bets for these elevated events thus far but after a solid week at the Honda that was close to being great, were about to lock in with our Arnold Palmer Invitational picks. While he fell victim to a faulty putter in his last start, the 31-year-old has actually gained strokes putting in his past four appearances on Bermuda grass. Genesis: Justin Thomas. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 WM Phoenix Open. With that said, the below plays still offer great value in the placement betting market. I like him to contend, and this number is probably higher than it should be with Schefflers recent win and the win here last year. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. The 9-hole China Creek Golf Course in Arlington, Although his history at Bay Hill isnt extensive, he did finish T-24 here in 2020, his lone start. Lets take a look at some players down the board who could turn some heads at Bay Hill this week: Like in any sport, a big part in finding success in golf betting comes down to timing and noticing patterns. PGA $1M Pitch & Putt: Because theres variance at work at Bay Hill given the complexity of the conditions and the wind, theres a chance to win big in the $1 million contest this week if you fall on the right side of the carnage. Sentry TOC: Xander Schauffele. Scheffler won last year at 5 under, beating Viktor Hovland, Tyrrell Hatton and Billy Horschel and by one stroke. A former two-time intern, he also helps keep GOLF.com humming outside the news-breaking stories and service content provided by our reporters and writers, and works with the tech team in the development of new products and innovative ways to deliver an engaging site to our audience. Its even more encouraging to see that Conners has found early success on these greens, gaining strokes putting in two of his first three appearances at this event. Contending into the weekend at The Farmers in his previous start, Steele is in great form heading into a course hes shown consistent success at over his career. Which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on? The odds leap from there as Max Homa (+2000), Collin Morikawa (+2100) and Will Zalatoris (+2100) round out the top-six. Hes made it through the cut in each trip to TPC Scottsdale, highlighted by a T17 in 2021. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. Then it just comes down to the putter. Honda: Chris Kirk. With all the top PGA Tour stars teeing it up again this week, the betting favorites share a lot of similarities with the very top of the Official World Golf Ranking. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, this time in Orlando for the 2023Arnold Palmer Invitationalat Bay Hill. The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. Gdula: Sungjae Im (-108) over Tyrrell Hatton (FanDuel) Both have played well at Bay Hill, and the long-term tee-to-green data favors Im, so thats where Im going. Houston Open: Aaron Wise. RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? Learn about the best sports betting sites. Atlantic Sun Tournament Odds: Liberty The Clear-Cut Favorite, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Tournament Preview: Everything You Need To Know About Bay Hill. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. 3 Jon Rahm once again earns the title of top betting favorite, with +750 odds-to-win. American Express: Cameron Young. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. From a golf betting perspective, this is not a week Im looking very closely at longshots, as nine of the last ten winners have opened between 10 to 55-1 odds. The second leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs takes us to Wilmington, Delaware for the first time in PGA TOUR history, as we head to the South course at Wilmington Country Club for potential longshot BMW Gdula: Tony Finau (+240, FanDuel) Its such a good field that even the top 10 will be hard for long shots to squeeze into with much success. Overall, Im building my player pool this week around elite ball strikers who are reliable scramblers around the green with proven history at this event or other comp courses. Rory McIlroy has become a horse at The Kings place, finishing 13th or better in seven of eight appearances. He lost three strokes on approach at Riviera, a trend that has become more common for him than in any other point in his career. Caddie: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) As I said above, the course fits what he does well, and these are nice odds for someone who top-10s it a bunch (not this year, which is why its nearly 4-to-1. As the elevated events have proven thus far in 2023, these loaded fields do not bode well for the outright prospects of longshots. From 2012 to 2019, it took double-digits under par to win the event, but the last three winners were Tyrrell Hatton at 4-under, Bryson DeChambeau at 11-under and Scheffler at 5-under. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. Full sports betting coverage from The Philadelphia Inquirer, California residents do not sell my data request. Best irons for 2023 for every handicap and playing style, Three sleeper picks to win the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, including Tommy Fleetwood at 80/1, Ratings for LIV Golf's 2023 TV debut are in and they aren't pretty, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. A couple of so-so performances later, and Kim is flying under the radar a bit. Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from New York City who now resides in Los Angeles. He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. That makes the John Deere one of the weakest field events of the year -- but that doesn't mean there isn't money to be made betting it. World No. https://golfweek.usatoday.com/lists/arnold-palmer-invitational-odds-sleeper-picks-tommy-fleetwood/, Mexico, Caribbean, Atlantic islands, Central America, Top 50 Classic Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Top 50 Modern Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, PGA Tour approves radical schedule changes, reducing fields in elevated events and ending cuts, Drivers used by PGA Tour pros ranked in the top 10 in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee. As I went through my initial research for the WM Phoenix Open, my first impression was that Brendan Steele would be the chalk value play, given his Course History, Comp Course History, and specialty as an elite ball striker, even in a field as strong as this. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational props, odds, picks, field: Golf expert 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational One and Done picks, sleepers, purse: 2023 Puerto Rico Open odds, picks: Proven golf model reveals projected 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, odds, Fantasy golf power Join SportsLine right now to see Patrick McDonald's top picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert up more than $2,000 for the 2022-23 season, and find out. RSM Classic: Brendon Todd. Touts are lame. I love to pounce on players that are coming off an MC in which they gained strokes in both ball-striking categories, which was the case for Matsuyama at Riviera. A Fall Swing heaters has continued on into 2023 for Putnam, whos already piled up six top-30 finishes and two top-5s this season. Kim has already shown flashes of greatness in his career, so dont be afraid to back the 20-year-old at a number like this even in a dynamite field. Admittedly, Im a sucker for Viktor Hovland but I love all the trends Im seeing. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. Playing in the Presidents Cup last September may have helped Conners further acclimate to the crowd atmosphere in store this week. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. Despite two disappointing finishes in Phoenix and Los Angeles, McIlroy was still brilliant from tee-to-greenlosing over eight strokes with the putter during that stretch. With the Phoenix Open open complete, the stars of the PGA Tour head to Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, where Tiger Woods will make his long-awaited return. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. List ranks top-20 in many of the key categories for the demanding test in store at Bay Hill, including Driving Distance, SG: OTT, Prox 200+ and Par-4: 450-500. WMPO: Scottie Scheffler. Poston. Combine that with his form and I think hes in line for another great showing. He actually putts decent here, gaining more than five strokes to the field over the past two years. Hoffman will assuredly not find himself on my outright card this week. Now covering the sport from a broader perspective, McDonald still likes to dip his toes into the betting pools on a weekly basis on the PGA Tour. Scotts last four starts at Riviera look like this: T4, T38, 1 and T7. So which 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational players should you target or avoid? CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. Be that as it may, the putter has not stopped him from posting three top-30 finishes over his last five starts. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. managing editor: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) This is inching toward a community bet, and golf betting isnt that easy. To put that into perspective, thats better than Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa have ever recorded in an individual tournament. Golfweek - Adam Woodard 19h It pays to play well on the PGA Tour, just ask this weeks winner, Chris Kirk. I expect the Japanese superstar to remind us that he is still a top-20 player in the world and have a great chance to pick up PGA Tour victory No. DFS Golf News. Jon Rahm (+750)Rory McIlroy (+1000)Scottie Scheffler (+1000)Justin Thomas (+1600)Xander Schauffele (+1600)Max Homa (+1800)Tony Finau (+1800)Collin Morikawa (+2200)Patrick Cantlay (+2500)Sungjae Im (+2500)Sam Burns (+2800)Viktor Hovland (+2800)Cameron Young (+3300)Hideki Matsuyama (+4000)Jason Day (+4000)Jordan Spieth (+4000)Matt Fitzpatrick (+4000)Tom Kim (+4000)Tyrrell Hatton (+4000)Will Zalatoris (+4000). All of that makes Scott a great long shot pick this week. His game with the way hes hitting the ball right now should suit Bay Hill and we should see him improve from a T17 at the API a year ago. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (+650, Bet365) Keegan hasnt missed a cut at Bay Hill in his 10 most recent appearances at Bay Hill, which includes four finishes of 11th or better. Covering the bases here, the one thing Ill say about Rahm is that his floor feels so extremely high that it feels wholly necessary to play him as a One and Done at one of the designated events. If youve been reading this column over the past month or so, youve been cashing tickets. Most of the games elite players opted out of the Honda, but they are back in a big way for the API. Bet with your head, not over it. Who has won the most US Masters titles? Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. >. Genesis: Collin Morikawa. With the $20 million purse on the line, the field is once again loaded with defending champion Scottie Scheffler now joined by Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and 10 of the Top 11 players in the OWGR and 44 of the Top 50 players in the world. Top 100 Courses in the U.S.: GOLFs all-new 2022-23 ranking is here! Hennessey, Golf Digest: Jon Rahm (+650, DraftKings) Can you stop taking the fun out of outright golf betting, Jon Rahm? Thats remarkable and, while it has made his outright odds tough to stomach, I think that the Top 5 odds are more than palatable at this price given that hes done that at an 80% rate so far this season. If its a loaded field and Will Zalatoris is betting, Im going to look for ways to get him on my card. We warned you guys after Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel gets hot, we tend to run hot! In his free time, Andy can likely be found on a golf course. As a 7,216 yard par-71, TPC Scottsdale is about average in terms of total yardage, but plays shorter than the scorecard suggests in firm and dry conditions at elevation. Generally speaking, this is not a week Im giving longshots much of a chance to contend. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+105) over Cameron Young (DraftKings) Fleetwood has a long history of success at Bay Hill and while Cam Young looked good in his first start at API, hes been one of the worst-performing wind players in the field. The short game wont be an issue, and with the expected blustery conditions, Fleetwood is primed to notch his fourth top 10 at Bay Hill in seven starts. Other long shots worth a look this week are a few pros who have been recently featured here, including Adam Scott (+10000), Sepp Straka (+12500) and Beau Hossler (+1500). Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. Obviously, we still have the 90/1 Luke List winner to fall back on. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+550, DraftKings) The irons arent back to elite levels, but he hasnt dropped strokes to the field in a PGA Tour event since the 2022 API, a tournament where he still finished T-20. Woods has never won at Riviera and enters the week at 150/1. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. Patrick Cantlay, Justin Thomas and Tony Finau are the only other players under +3000. Hes just six starts removed from gaining nearly six strokes to the field on approach in Houston, and if he has anywhere close to that result with his elite off-the-tee game, plus his prowess on grainy Bermuda greens, he can absolutely follow Chris Kirk as back-to-back Georgia Bulldog victories. And youll find few whove shown more consistency here than Bradley. Honda: Chris Kirk. And most importantly, our experts have hit an outright winner in three consecutive weeksthanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week. TPC Scottsdale is a course that rewards elite ball-striking first and foremost. Another surprise: Tony Finau, a 28-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Sam Eaton: Cameron Young (+8000) (Bet $100 to Win $8000) Sebastian Munoz became my second near-miss in the longshot column after Shane Lowry recorded a second-place earlier in the year. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates He has the ball-striking to put together a strong showing at Bay Hill, and while the putter is still hit-or-miss, its not nearly as bad as it used to be. CrazyTown, USA. While Fowler didnt pull off the victory, he played quite well, outperforming his long odds to finish the tournament at 10 under, nine shots off Scottie Schefflers winning score and good enough for a T10, which means if you bet on him to finish in the top 10 as we did, you made a little money. I expect Im to miss the cut this week, which would likely be in his best interest anyway to get a couple days off before the Players Championship next week. Editor: Will Zalatoris ( 22-1, DraftKings ) this is inching toward a community bet, (. At 150/1 from the Philadelphia Inquirer, California residents do not bode well for 2023. 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In the U.S.: GOLFs all-new 2022-23 Ranking is here of that makes Scott great...

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